by David Korzinski | May 25, 2021 7:44 pm
May 26, 2021 – As some provinces loosen community restrictions and unveil post-pandemic reopening plans, Canadians may be forgiven for day-dreaming about future days of free movement and travel. But a return to the “good old days” will come with new realities.
As discussions of “vaccine passports” – certification that an individual has been vaccinated against COVID-19 – circulate in public policy circles, new data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds Canadians largely accepting of the concept in various forms.
More than three-quarters say that they would support mandatory vaccination proof for both travel to the United States (76%) and for international travel outside Canada’s southern border (79%). In each case one-in-five disagree.
That said, there is a clear preference to reduce reliance on proof of vaccinations in domestic life when compared with international travel.
While a majority also agree that vaccine passports could be used at public places in their communities, like restaurants, malls and movie theatres, two-in-five (41%) oppose the idea – suggesting much more difficult implementation.
More broadly, Canadians continue to voice meagre support for opening up international travel, with one significant exception. Those who travelled regularly before the pandemic are far more likely to say that the Canada-U.S. border should have been opened after the long-weekend (37%) compared to those who did not take any international trips from 2018 to 2020 (16%).
Overall, 48 per cent would keep the border closed until September, though the more they travelled pre-pandemic, the more likely Canadians are to say that it should be opened sooner.
More Key Findings:
The Angus Reid Institute (ARI) was founded in October 2014 by pollster and sociologist, Dr. Angus Reid. ARI is a national, not-for-profit, non-partisan public opinion research foundation established to advance education by commissioning, conducting and disseminating to the public accessible and impartial statistical data, research and policy analysis on economics, political science, philanthropy, public administration, domestic and international affairs and other socio-economic issues of importance to Canada and its world.
Across most of the country, with the notable exception of Manitoba, daily cases of COVID-19 in Canada are dropping. This, as vaccination rates increase, and high willingness among unvaccinated Canadians to get the jab. These factors have combined to reduce Canadians’ concerns about becoming sick. Three-in-five (59%) say they continue to be worried about personal illness, the lowest level recorded in almost a year:
As one might expect, concerns are higher among those who are anxious to be vaccinated and lowest among those who will not pursue vaccination at all. Notably, even a majority of those who have received at least one dose of vaccine are still concerned about becoming ill:
Despite the positive trends noted above, one-in-five Canadians over 54 years of age say they are still very concerned about personally contracting COVID-19 (see detailed tables).
As Canadian communities begin to loosen restrictions, and as several provinces release re-opening plans, a high level of opposition to opening up international travel continues.
Half of Canadians (51%) say Canada should entirely prohibit non-essential international travel; this proportion is unchanged from last month. One-in-three (34%) would strongly discourage international travel (which is what the federal government has been doing) but not ban it:
These views are by no means uniform. Consider that among those who rarely or never travelled internationally in the two years before the pandemic, a strong majority (59%) say that an outright travel ban is the best policy. Just 11 per cent of this group would have no government advocacy on this issue. For those who travelled frequently in that same pre-pandemic period, twice as many (22%) say there should be zero restriction or guidance on this issue, while a plurality (40%) say a ban on international travel should be in place:
A keystone of the federal government’s policy aimed at reducing international travel has been its “quarantine” restrictions for inbound travellers. Anyone coming into Canada via an airport is subject to a three-day quarantine at a government-approved hotel – at their own expense – and a two-week quarantine at home.
That latter policy is relatively uncontroversial. Four-in-five Canadians, including those with different levels of travel frequency, agree that this is a necessary precaution for those entering Canada:
The same agreement is not found when it comes to a three-day stay at a government-selected hotel. Here just half (52%) feel the policy is necessary and this proportion drops to 40 per cent among frequent travellers.
One of the explanatory factors in differing levels of support for each policy is found in the perceived effectiveness of each. Just two-in-five (40%) say that holding travellers for three days at a sanctioned hotel will be effective at reducing the risk of COVID-19 spread, while two-thirds (67%) say the same of a two-week quarantine. The hotel policy has been criticized after evidence emerged that travellers were circumventing it by flying to American airports and crossing via taxis or limousines:
The picture changes considerably when vaccinations are entered into the discussion. Respondents were asked to reassess each policy with the caveat that the person entering the country now has proof of full vaccination. In each case, the percentage who think each should have to follow both protocols diminishes considerably:
The U.S.-Canada land border remains closed to non-essential travel at least until June 21, dashing hopes of the nearly one-in-four Canadians who have been longing for a sooner-than-later return to cross-border road trips. Pressure is also on government from the tourism and hospitality sector as it comes to grips with the prospect of a second summer without tourists filling their hotel rooms, restaurants, and attractions.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has signalled he doesn’t intend to re-open until at least 75 per cent of the Canadian population has been vaccinated. Whenever this milestone is reached, it will not come too soon for those who travelled frequently pre-pandemic. Non-travellers are more than twice as likely to advocate to keep the border closed until the end of the year:
2021 is a year where Canadians, and indeed, people around the world, are becoming acquainted with a new term – “vaccine passports”. As some countries set a mass vaccination pace that has been faster than other nations, discussions have turned to travel restrictions and whether proof of vaccination should be needed to cross borders.
More than three-quarters of Canadians say a person should have to provide proof of vaccination in order to travel to the United States or internationally. A similar number also say they would make this mandatory for any commercial flight in Canada:
There is far more disagreement about how Canada may apply vaccine passports, or certifications, in other aspects of daily life. While seven-in-ten (69%) say they agree that proof should be provided if a person wishes to attend a large public event like a concert or anything with more than 50 people congregating, consensus drops to 55 per cent for public spaces such as restaurants or malls. The same number say they agree that it would be okay for workplaces to initiate this type of program:
Perspectives vary relatively little across age and gender on this issue. Older Canadians are generally more supportive of vaccine passports in each area canvassed, but a majority of younger Canadians tend to agree with them:
Past Conservative Party voters are least likely to say that they would like to see vaccine passports become a more common aspect of Canadians’ lives, though a majority support their use for international and air travel. Notably, a full majority of other major party supporters favor the use of these in all areas canvassed:
Vaccine proofs are supported by a strong majority of those who have received at least one dose of vaccine so far, or who would like to be vaccinated as soon as possible. In each scenario, at least three-in-five among each group show support. The same is not the case for those who are hesitant to be vaccinated or say they will not be. In particular, those opposed to vaccination are far more likely to disagree that they should need to show proof to travel or enter certain places and events:
*Small sample size, interpret with caution
While Canada’s vaccination trajectory thus far looks to be taking the country into herd immunity levels, thought to be between 70 and 90 per cent, there are still some Canadians on the fence. If public policymakers are hoping to increase vaccination among this group, vaccine passports appear very unlikely to do so. Just eight per cent of those who are unwilling or unsure about the COVID-19 vaccine say that this would make them more likely to get a jab:
The Angus Reid Institute conducted an online survey from May 14 – 17, 2021 among a representative randomized sample of 1,601 Canadian adults who are members of Angus Reid Forum. For comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. Discrepancies in or between totals are due to rounding. The survey was self-commissioned and paid for by ARI.
For detailed results by age, gender, region, education, and other demographics, click here.
For detailed results by frequency of pre-pandemic travel and vaccine willingness, click here.
To read the full report, including detailed tables and methodology, click here.
To read the questionnaire, click here.
Image – Jeremy Bezanger/Unsplash
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Source URL: https://angusreid.org/covid-vaccine-passport/
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