Leger polled 2,086 Canadians from October 13 – 16 using a randomized representative sample of Canadians who are members of LegerWeb’s Internet panel. For comparative purposes, Leger reports that the margin of error for a random sample of the same size would be 2.1% 19 times out of 20.
Respondents were asked the following question: “If federal elections were held today, for which political party would you be most likely to vote?” Those who said they had no opinion on who they would vote for originally were then prompted with a follow-up question asking them who they would “most likely vote for”, even if they had not yet made up their minds. Results are weighted to census data for gender, age, native language, region, and education.
The results were: Liberal 38 per cent, CPC 30 per cent, NDP 22 per cent.