October 18, 2015 – Ipsos conducted a mixed methods poll of 2,503 adult Canadians, 1,502 of whom were interviewed online through the “Ipsos I-Say Panel” or through non-panel sources. The remaining 1,001 interviews were conducted by live-interview telephone dialing, including both landlines and cell phones. Results were then weighted to Census data and “political variables.” Ipsos reports that the margin of error of is +/-2.2%, 19 times out of 20.
Ipsos asked the question “Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties’ candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?”. For those who were unsure, the question “Well, which party would you say you would lean towards?” was asked. The composite number they report below is decided voters, including those who are leaning.
Results: Liberal 38 per cent, CPC 31 per cent, NDP 22 per cent.